Sunday 12 July 2015

      Greek latest: Europe leaders edge towards compromise
Euro zone leadership met for more than 10 hours on Sunday—and into Monday—to discuss Greece's final deadline to secure a reform-for-rescue deal.

We'll be updating you throughout your day with essential breaking news, comment and analysis. 
Key developments:
=Euro zone leaders summit meeting Brussels 
=EC President Donald Tusk says leaders meeting will go on until it "concludes talks on Greece"
2hours ago
Earlier Eurogroup meeting found Greece may need as much as 86 billion euros in aid
Some more detail from IG's note on what to watch on the Dax (paraphrasing here:
S&P 500 futures have been a real backbone behind these calls (and Asian markets) falling 0.8% on open (Dow was down 133 points), but have since recovered nicely on talk of ‘compromise’ and are now in positive territory. Japan and Australia have gone along for the ride. 
Watch moves in the German DAX with the index testing the April downtrend. Traders seem to be warming to risk and a close today above 11,432 (the April downtrend) should see a quick spike to 11,600 (June highs) and onto 12,000. I would look at long positions on a closing break of the downtrend. Although given the event risk, I would keep position sizing small.
Weston doesn't get more cheerful:
It seems traders will have wait another 70 odd hours now for the Greek parliament to potentially vote through some very austere measures that could take Greece back to where we were nine months ago.
A sobering note from IG's chief market strategist Chris Weston, who says it doesn't get much tougher than this:

These are extremely difficult conditions for traders to navigate portfolio’s, as tough as I have seen for many years and this can be seen front and centre by just how many times sell-side strategists are changing their call on ‘Grexit

    • 2 hours ago
      CNBC's Julia Chatterley reporting that her sense after spending weeks in Athens is that Greeks are not blaming Tsipras for the country's position - they believe that the PM has been backed into the current situation by euro zone leaders. She notes that this support may erode once Tsipras has to enact the painful reforms he has promised ... 

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